Political Logic – Interpreting intent without overreach Statement: The president of the XYZ Party stated that 25 independent MLAs are seriously considering options of joining some political party, and in any case they will all join one party collectively. Evaluate the conclusions.

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: Neither I nor II follows

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
This question checks for over-interpretation. The statement signals two things: (1) the independents are exploring options, and (2) they will join the same party, but it does not specify which party or the timing. We must not assume facts not in evidence when evaluating conclusions I and II that name a specific outcome and timeframe.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • 25 independents are deliberating.
  • They intend to join one party collectively.
  • Neither the party’s identity nor a short deadline is provided.


Concept / Approach:
Conclusions must be necessitated by the statement. Predicting which party (XYZ vs. “some other”) or promising “in a short period” goes beyond the given. The only safe inference is that a joint move is contemplated—not which destination nor when.


Step-by-Step Solution:

Check I: “They will join XYZ shortly.” The source is an XYZ leader, but the statement does not claim they will choose XYZ or specify “shortly.” Not supported.Check II: “They will join some other party shortly.” Again, no party or timeframe is specified. Not supported.


Verification / Alternative check:

Construct scenarios: They could join XYZ, another party, or reconsider; timing might be short or long. The statement alone does not settle these variables.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

Any option that affirms I or II assumes facts (identity/time) not stated.


Common Pitfalls:

Assuming partisan statements guarantee outcomes; reading “considering options” as “decision made.”


Final Answer:
Neither I nor II follows

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