Decision-making – Severe storm expected within 48 hours Statement: The meteorological department reports that a severe storm is likely to hit the city during the next 48 hours. Courses of Action: I. Advise all business and educational establishments to close for two days. II. Do not make the information public to avoid panic among residents. III. Activate the disaster-management program to tackle possible emergencies.
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AOnly I and II follow
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BOnly III follows
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COnly II and III follow
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DOnly I and III follow
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EAll follow
Answer
Correct Answer: Only III follows
Explanation
Introduction / Context:Imminent severe weather requires proportionate, structured response. We must distinguish necessary preparedness from measures that are premature or counterproductive.
Given Data / Assumptions:
- Severe storm forecast with a 48-hour lead time.
- City authorities manage risk communications and emergency services.
- Goal: reduce harm while maintaining essential functions.
Concept / Approach:Good practice is to activate emergency plans (alerts, shelters, drainage checks, power/medical readiness). Blanket closures are decided based on track/intensity updates; suppressing information is harmful.
Step-by-Step Solution:
I: Closing all establishments pre-emptively, without granular risk assessment or updated advisories, may be excessive and economically disruptive. Not a necessary immediate step purely from the initial forecast.II: Withholding information undermines public safety; transparent risk communication prevents confusion and enables preparation. II does not follow.III: Activating disaster-management protocols (ICS, coordination, resource staging) directly addresses preparedness needs. III follows.Verification / Alternative check:Emergency management frameworks prioritize readiness and clear communication over secrecy and indiscriminate shutdowns.
Why Other Options Are Wrong:
- I and II: I is premature; II is dangerous.
- I and III / All: Both include II or an unjustified I.
Common Pitfalls:Equating forecast with certain impact; confusing panic-management with information suppression.
Final Answer:Only III follows