Analysing policy inference from demand–production gap — given 'Domestic demand has been increasing faster than indigenous crude oil production', decide whether importing crude is a necessary inference or whether demand must be reduced
Verbal Reasoning
Statement and Conclusion
Difficulty: Medium
Choose an option
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AOnly conclusion I follows
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BOnly conclusion II follows
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CEither I or II follows
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DNeither I nor II follows
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EBoth I and II follow
Answer
Correct Answer: Only conclusion I follows
Explanation
Given data
- Statement: Growth of domestic demand > growth of indigenous crude production.
- Conclusions:
- I: Crude oil must be imported.
- II: Domestic demand should be reduced.
Concept/Approach
When demand outpaces local supply, bridging the gap by imports is the most direct necessary measure implied. A prescriptive 'demand should be reduced' is a separate policy choice not compelled by the statement.
Step-by-step logic1) To meet demand immediately, imports are the logical necessity if indigenous supply lags ⇒ I follows.2) The statement does not mandate demand reduction; it merely reports relative growth ⇒ II does not follow.
Verification/Alternative
Alternatives like substitutes or rapid capacity addition are not mentioned; the necessary, near-term implication is import dependence.
Common pitfalls
- Confusing a feasible policy (reduce demand) with a logical necessity from the premise.
Final AnswerOnly conclusion I follows.