CPM vs. PERT – time estimates In Critical Path Method (CPM), activity durations are typically treated using which type of time estimate?

Mechanical Engineering Industrial Engineering and Production Management Difficulty: Easy
Choose an option
  • A
    Single time estimate (deterministic duration)
  • B
    Double time estimate
  • C
    Triple time estimate (optimistic, most likely, pessimistic)
  • D
    No time estimate is required
  • E
    Only probabilistic distributions with variance

Answer

Correct Answer: Single time estimate (deterministic duration)

Explanation

Introduction / Context:Project network methods include CPM and PERT. Though both identify a critical path, their treatment of activity time is different, affecting how uncertainty is modeled.

Given Data / Assumptions:

  • CPM is commonly used where durations can be estimated reliably or controlled (e.g., construction, maintenance turnarounds).
  • PERT is used where activity times are uncertain and variable (e.g., R&D).

Concept / Approach:CPM assumes a single, deterministic duration for each activity and emphasizes time–cost trade-offs (crashing). PERT uses three-point estimates to compute expected time and variance.

Step-by-Step Solution:Assign a single duration to each activity in CPM.Perform forward and backward passes to find ES, EF, LS, LF, and total float.Identify zero-float activities forming the critical path and the project duration.Optionally, analyze crashing by shortening durations at extra cost to meet a target deadline.

Verification / Alternative check:Comparing CPM with PERT on the same project shows CPM's deterministic schedule versus PERT's probability-based completion dates.

Why Other Options Are Wrong:Options (b), (c), and (e) reflect PERT-style probabilistic modeling. Option (d) is incorrect—time estimates are central to both CPM and PERT.

Common Pitfalls:Using CPM without considering variability where it is significant; ignoring resource constraints may make the schedule unrealistic.

Final Answer:Single time estimate (deterministic duration)

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