Statement — The fiscal-deficit target of 5% of GDP could not be achieved because there was a major shortfall in revenue collection. Assumptions — I. A shortfall in revenue collection increases the fiscal deficit. II. A shortfall in revenue collection decreases the fiscal deficit.

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: if only Assumption I is implicit

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Statement–Assumption questions test whether a given statement logically presupposes certain facts to make sense. Here, the statement links the failure to meet a fiscal-deficit target directly to a “major shortfall in revenue collection,” which invites us to examine what must be true for that linkage to be meaningful.



Given Data / Assumptions:


  • Targeted fiscal deficit = 5% of GDP.
  • Actual outcome missed due to revenue shortfall.
  • Assumption I: revenue shortfall increases the deficit.
  • Assumption II: revenue shortfall decreases the deficit.


Concept / Approach:
Fiscal deficit = Total Expenditure − Total Revenue. Holding expenditure approximately fixed in the budget period, a fall in revenue pushes the deficit upward. The statement blames the miss on revenue shortfall, which only makes sense if a shortfall tends to raise the deficit, not reduce it.



Step-by-Step Solution:


1) The statement presents a cause (shortfall) explaining an effect (target miss on deficit).2) For this causal explanation to be coherent, shortfall must push the deficit above the target (i.e., worsen it).3) Therefore, I must be presupposed by the speaker.4) II contradicts the causal direction and cannot be presupposed.


Verification / Alternative check:
If revenue rises (opposite of shortfall), deficit typically shrinks, ceteris paribus. Hence, a shortfall would have the opposite effect—an increase—supporting Assumption I only.



Why Other Options Are Wrong:


Only II implicit: wrong because the statement’s causal link needs deficit to increase, not decrease.Either I or II: wrong because I and II are mutually contradictory.Neither: wrong because without I the stated cause would not explain the effect.Both: impossible due to contradiction.


Common Pitfalls:
Do not import external information about spending changes; evaluate the minimal presupposition to make the speaker’s causal claim meaningful.



Final Answer:
Only Assumption I is implicit.

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