Statement — The Government has decided not to reduce the prices of petroleum products despite a significant fall in international crude prices.\n\nAssumptions —\nI. International crude prices may rise again in the near future.\nII. Maintaining current product prices provides a buffer to handle possible future increases.

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: if both Assumption I and II are implicit

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Choosing not to pass through a cost decrease suggests caution about future volatility and a desire to build fiscal/price buffers. Such a stance presupposes a risk of price rebound and a policy of smoothing prices over time.



Given Data / Assumptions:


  • Observed: crude prices have fallen significantly.
  • Decision: retail prices unchanged.
  • I: crude may rise again soon.
  • II: holding prices now helps withstand later increases.


Concept / Approach:
Price-smoothing policy logic: do not reduce retail prices fully when input costs fall, so as to avoid sharp hikes when costs rebound; use the margin as a buffer or for fiscal needs.



Step-by-Step Solution:


1) Identify the latent risk (future crude increase).2) Connect the decision to risk mitigation via buffer (II).3) Both assumptions are necessary to rationalize the choice.


Verification / Alternative check:
If crude were expected to keep falling and buffers were unnecessary, a reduction would be more plausible; the decision contradicts that, so I and II support it.



Why Other Options Are Wrong:


Only I or only II: incomplete articulation of risk and buffer.Either: insufficient.Neither: contradicts observed caution.


Common Pitfalls:
Confusing political motives with logical presuppositions; the question asks what must be assumed, not why the government “should” do it.



Final Answer:
Both Assumption I and II are implicit.

More Questions from Statement and Assumption

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