Difficulty: Easy
Correct Answer: 1/2
Explanation:
Introduction / Context:
We are given survival probabilities over a fixed horizon for two people and asked for the probability that neither survives. Assume independence unless stated otherwise.
Given Data / Assumptions:
P(M survives) = 1/4 ⇒ P(M dies) = 3/4; P(W survives) = 1/3 ⇒ P(W dies) = 2/3; independence assumed.
Concept / Approach:
P(neither alive) = P(M dies) * P(W dies).
Step-by-Step Solution:
Verification / Alternative check:
Complement perspective: 1 − P(at least one survives) = 1 − [1 − P(neither)] ⇒ consistent when computing directly.
Why Other Options Are Wrong:
5/12 and 7/12 arise from mixing survival vs failure; 11/12 is impossible here.
Common Pitfalls:
Confusing given survival with failure probabilities; overlooking independence.
Final Answer:
1/2
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