100 identical biased coins: Each coin shows heads with probability p (0 < p < 1). If P(50 heads) equals P(51 heads), find p.

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: 51/101

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
For a Binomial(n, p) with n = 100, we are told two adjacent probabilities match: P(X = 50) = P(X = 51). This determines p via the ratio of consecutive binomial terms.


Given Data / Assumptions:
X ~ Binomial(100, p); 0 < p < 1; equality of probabilities at 50 and 51.


Concept / Approach:
Use the identity P(k+1)/P(k) = [(n − k)/(k + 1)] * [p/(1 − p)] and set it equal to 1 at k = 50.


Step-by-Step Solution:

P(51)/P(50) = [(100 − 50)/(50 + 1)] * (p/(1 − p))= (50/51) * (p/(1 − p)) = 1⇒ p/(1 − p) = 51/50 ⇒ p = 51/101


Verification / Alternative check:
Numerically, p ≈ 0.50495 is slightly > 1/2, which makes P(51) slightly larger than P(50) when p exceeds this threshold, matching equality at p = 51/101.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:
1/2 is close but not exact; 49/101 and 50/101 arise from flipping or off-by-one ratios.


Common Pitfalls:
Setting p = 1/2 by symmetry without checking the discrete correction embodied in the ratio formula.


Final Answer:
51/101

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