Logical Deduction — Statements & Conclusions Statement: "America’s defense secretary reiterated that they would continue to supply arms to Pakistan." Which conclusions, if any, follow?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: Neither I nor II follows

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
A policy statement about arms supply says nothing explicit about Pakistan’s manufacturing capacity or the peace implications. We must avoid inserting geopolitical assumptions not present in the text.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Policy: Continue supplying arms to Pakistan.
  • Conclusion I: Pakistan cannot manufacture arms.
  • Conclusion II: Continued supply will ensure peace in the region.


Concept / Approach:
From a promise to supply, we cannot deduce a recipient’s incapacity; supply can occur despite local capacity. Nor can we guarantee the complex outcome of peace; arms transfers can both deter and escalate, but the statement claims neither.


Step-by-Step Solution:
I fails: The statement does not speak to indigenous production. Countries with capacity still import for interoperability or technology.II fails: No causal claim about peace is made. The statement is a reiteration, not a justification or strategic evaluation.


Verification / Alternative check:
Imagine Pakistan manufactures some arms but imports others; or continued supplies correlate with tension. The policy statement remains true regardless, proving neither conclusion is entailed.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • I only / II only / Both: add unsupported claims.
  • Either: neither is compelled.


Common Pitfalls:
Projecting political opinions onto neutral policy wording.


Final Answer:
Neither I nor II follows

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