Critical Reasoning — Assumptions Context: After reviewing ticket sales for the past seven days, the circus management decides to continue the show for another fortnight that includes two weekends. Which assumptions are implicit?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: Only II is implicit

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Management extends a show based on recent demand data. We must extract the assumptions necessary to justify the decision.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • I: People may not turn up on weekdays.
  • II: The average number of visitors during the extension will be similar to the last seven days.
  • III: Response at other locations may be inadequate.


Concept / Approach:
A continuation decision based on recent sales presumes demand stability across the next period. It does not require beliefs about weekday aversion or performance at other venues.


Step-by-Step Solution:
II is necessary. The decision leans on the past seven days as a predictor; if future demand were expected to collapse, extension would be irrational.I is not necessary. The plan includes weekends but does not assume poor weekday attendance; even healthy weekday demand supports the choice.III is not necessary. The decision is about continuing at the current place, not about touring elsewhere.


Verification / Alternative check:
Negating II undermines the forecast on which the extension rests. Negating I or III does not affect the rationale.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • All or I and II: add nonessential assumptions.
  • None: overlooks the essential reliance on recent trends.


Common Pitfalls:
Beware of smuggling in extra market beliefs that the statement does not require.


Final Answer:
Only II is implicit

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