In traffic forecasting for highways, the increase in traffic volume attributable to a general rise in the number of transport vehicles (independent of specific new projects) is termed what?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: Normal traffic growth

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Accurate traffic forecasting separates different components of future traffic so that design is neither overly conservative nor unsafe. Standard categories distinguish background growth from project-induced changes.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Observed increase due to overall motorization and economic growth.
  • No specific single development (like a new industrial estate) directly causing the rise.


Concept / Approach:
Normal traffic growth is the background increase tied to population, income, and vehicle ownership trends. Development traffic arises from a specific planned development in the influence area. Generated traffic is additional travel induced by improved facility/service level (e.g., new road reducing travel time). The question clearly points to background growth from more vehicles overall, hence “normal traffic growth.”


Step-by-Step Solution:
Identify growth driver: general rise in vehicle numbers.Map to category: normal (background) growth.Exclude other categories: not tied to a discrete development; not induced by the project itself.


Verification / Alternative check:
Highway planning texts and IRC guidance treat background growth separately so that generated/development traffic can be estimated and added explicitly when relevant.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • Development traffic: tied to specific land-use projects.
  • Generated traffic growth: a consequence of improved facility or reduced impedance.
  • Current traffic: a snapshot, not a growth category.


Common Pitfalls:

  • Double counting growth by adding both normal and generated components without careful delineation.
  • Using short-term seasonal spikes as trend indicators.


Final Answer:
Normal traffic growth

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