Eyewitness reliability – choose the most probable combined description of the mugger Four witnesses each give a different description; which description is most likely correct?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: He was tall, thin, and middle-aged.

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
This problem tests consensus reasoning. When multiple eyewitnesses give differing descriptions, the best estimate of truth usually combines the most frequently repeated attributes across reports.



Given Data / Assumptions:

  • We have four conflicting descriptions, but options synthesize common traits.
  • Typical approach: identify features (height, build, age) that appear most often among accounts.
  • No single original report is guaranteed correct; we infer the most probable composite.


Concept / Approach:
Use the “majority overlap” heuristic. If “tall” occurs in most accounts and “thin” occurs in most accounts, and “middle-aged” is more common than “young,” select the option combining those prevailing traits.



Step-by-Step Solution:

Scan options for common traits: “tall” appears in multiple choices; “thin” appears in several; “middle-aged” appears more often than “young.”Identify the choice combining these frequent descriptors: “tall, thin, and middle-aged.”Thus, option combining the modal traits is most plausible as a consensus reconstruction.


Verification / Alternative check:

If two attributes tie, prefer the one that best maximizes overlap across all three categories simultaneously; here, tall + thin + middle-aged yields the highest joint frequency.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

Average height or average weight reduce overlap relative to “tall” and “thin.”“Young” appears less often than “middle-aged,” lowering likelihood.An entirely different build/height (e.g., short, heavy) is not supported by majority features.


Common Pitfalls:

Focusing on one attribute in isolation instead of maximizing agreement across all three.


Final Answer:
He was tall, thin, and middle-aged.

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