An urn contains 3 red and 4 green marbles (7 total). If three marbles are picked at random without replacement, what is the probability that two are green and one is red?

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: 18/35

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Sampling without replacement from colored marbles is modeled by combinations. We count favorable color-compositions and divide by total equally likely 3-combinations from the urn.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • R = 3 (red), G = 4 (green), total N = 7.
  • Draw k = 3 without replacement.
  • Target composition: 2 green, 1 red.


Concept / Approach:

  • Total ways = C(7,3).
  • Favorable = C(4,2) * C(3,1).
  • Probability = favorable / total.


Step-by-Step Solution:

Total ways = C(7,3) = 35Favorable ways = C(4,2) * C(3,1) = 6 * 3 = 18Probability = 18 / 35


Verification / Alternative check:
Hypergeometric model: HG(N=7, success-type G=4, draws k=3, want x=2) gives the same ratio 18/35 after multiplying by C(3,1) for the red pick.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • 3/7, 5/14, 4/21 result from mixing replacement assumptions or miscounting combinations.


Common Pitfalls:

  • Treating order as distinct (it is not; combinations handle orderless draws).


Final Answer:
18/35

More Questions from Probability

Discussion & Comments

No comments yet. Be the first to comment!
Join Discussion