Risk reasoning in investments: The statement "His recent investment in the shares of Company A is only a gamble" implies certain assumptions. Decide which are implicit (I: He may incur a loss on this investment; II: He may also gain from this investment).
Verbal Reasoning
Statement and Assumption
Difficulty: Easy
Choose an option
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AOnly assumption I is implicit
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BOnly assumption II is implicit
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CEither I or II is implicit
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DNeither I nor II is implicit
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EBoth I and II are implicit
Answer
Correct Answer: Both I and II are implicit
Explanation
Given data
- Statement labels the investment as a 'gamble'.
- Assumption I: Loss is a possible outcome.
- Assumption II: Gain is also a possible outcome.
Concept/ApproachCalling something a 'gamble' presumes uncertainty with meaningful chances of opposite outcomes (profit or loss). If only one outcome were plausible, it would not be a gamble.
Step-by-step reasoning1) If loss were impossible, the 'gamble' label would be inappropriate.2) If gain were impossible, again the term would not fit (it would be a sure loss, not a gamble).Hence both I and II are necessary to justify the word choice.
Verification/AlternativeGambling entails two-sided risk. Both 'may lose' and 'may gain' underlie the label.
Common pitfalls
- Reading 'gamble' as 'doomed' or 'guaranteed' — both contradict the semantics of risk.
Final AnswerBoth I and II are implicit.