Target practice with two shooters: P(A hits) = 5/7 and P(B hits) = 7/10, independently. What is the probability exactly one of them hits?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: 29/70

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
We need the probability of the exclusive OR (XOR) event: exactly one out of two independent shooters hits the target.


Given Data / Assumptions:
P(A) = 5/7 ⇒ P(Ā) = 2/7; P(B) = 7/10 ⇒ P(B̄) = 3/10; independence assumed.


Concept / Approach:
Compute P(A ∩ B̄) + P(Ā ∩ B). Multiply due to independence and sum the disjoint cases.


Step-by-Step Solution:

P(A ∩ B̄) = (5/7)*(3/10) = 15/70P(Ā ∩ B) = (2/7)*(7/10) = 14/70Total = 29/70


Verification / Alternative check:
Complement method: P(exactly one) = P(A ∪ B) − 2P(A ∩ B) = [5/7 + 7/10 − (5/7)(7/10)] − 2*(5/7)(7/10) = 29/70.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:
31/70 or 33/70 come from arithmetic slips; 21/10 is impossible (>1).


Common Pitfalls:
Using “at least one” instead of “exactly one,” or failing to apply independence correctly.


Final Answer:
29/70

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