Foundations of probability: within standard probability theory, valid probabilities for any event must lie within what numerical range?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: 0.00 to 1.00

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Probability quantifies uncertainty on a normalized 0 to 1 scale. Understanding this numeric range is foundational for statistics, risk analysis, and decision-making. It ensures calculations, comparisons, and interpretations (like odds, likelihoods, and confidence) remain consistent and meaningful across contexts such as quality control, forecasting, and simulation studies.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • A probability of 0 means the event cannot occur.
  • A probability of 1 means the event is certain.
  • All other events fall between 0 and 1 inclusive.


Concept / Approach:
By definition, probability P(E) satisfies 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1. Percentages (0% to 100%) are an alternative expression but must be converted back to the 0–1 scale for calculations. Values outside this interval indicate a modeling or computational error. Normalization on [0, 1] allows additive and complementary relationships such as P(E) + P(not E) = 1 to hold consistently across analyses.


Step-by-Step Solution:

State the axiom: 0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 1. Relate endpoints to impossible and certain events. Note that expressing probabilities as percentages is equivalent to scaling by 100. Select the option that explicitly reflects the 0.00 to 1.00 range.


Verification / Alternative check:
Any valid probability mass or density function integrates/sums to 1 over its sample space; individual event probabilities cannot exceed 1 or fall below 0.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • 0.00 to 0.10: too narrow; excludes many legitimate probabilities.
  • 0 to 100: looks like percentages, but the unit is incorrect in probability notation.
  • All/None: incorrect since one correct numeric range exists.


Common Pitfalls:
Mixing percentages with decimal probabilities without conversion; reporting probabilities greater than 1 due to double counting.


Final Answer:
0.00 to 1.00

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