P(A) = 5/9 and P(B^c) = 5/11 (so P(B) = 6/11). Assuming A and B are independent, what is the probability that at least one of A or B occurs?

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: 79/99

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
The probability that at least one of two events occurs is given by P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B). If independence is assumed, then P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B). This question provides P(A) and P(B^c).


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • P(A) = 5/9.
  • P(B^c) = 5/11, hence P(B) = 1 − 5/11 = 6/11.
  • A and B are independent (stated in the title; needed to determine P(A ∩ B)).


Concept / Approach:
Use the union formula with independence: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A)P(B). Compute exactly as a rational number to avoid rounding.


Step-by-Step Solution:

P(A ∪ B) = 5/9 + 6/11 − (5/9)(6/11).Common denominator 99: 55/99 + 54/99 − 30/99 = 79/99.Therefore, P(at least one) = 79/99.


Verification / Alternative check:
Compute P(neither) = P(A^c)P(B^c) = (4/9)(5/11) = 20/99. Then 1 − 20/99 = 79/99, confirming the result.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:
6/11 and 5/9 are individual event probabilities, not the union. 4/9 is P(A^c). 0.8 is a rounded approximation (79/99 ≈ 0.79798) and is not exact.


Common Pitfalls:
Forgetting to subtract the intersection or neglecting the independence assumption; adding probabilities directly can exceed 1.


Final Answer:
79/99

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