Statement–Argument (Ban Pre-Election Opinion Polls): Statement: Should opinion polls predicting election outcomes be banned in India? Arguments: I) Yes, such polls may influence voters and affect outcomes. II) No, such polls are conducted worldwide. Choose which argument is strong.

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: if only Argument I is strong

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
The crux is whether polls materially distort voter behaviour (bandwagon/underdog effects) warranting time-bound restrictions. Appeals to common practice elsewhere are not, by themselves, decisive.



Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Argument I: Identifies a plausible mechanism—polls can shape perceptions of viability and momentum, influencing strategic voting.
  • Argument II: “Done worldwide” is an appeal to prevalence, not a reason that addresses local harms or safeguards.


Concept / Approach:
Strong arguments target outcome effects and regulatory purpose. I does that; II lacks policy reasoning.



Step-by-Step Solution:
Test I: Voter psychology channels exist ⇒ strong (though extent is empirical).Test II: Mere global practice ≠ justification ⇒ weak.



Verification / Alternative check:
Many jurisdictions prefer blackout periods over blanket bans—this nuance still supports I’s core concern.



Why Other Options Are Wrong:
“Either/neither” misclassifies relative strength; “only II” is non-responsive.



Common Pitfalls:
Confusing descriptive prevalence with normative justification.



Final Answer:
if only Argument I is strong.

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