Cause & Effect — Prices vs weather shock.\nI. Vegetable prices in the local market have increased manifold in recent days.\nII. Incessant rains have created flood-like conditions in most rural parts of the state.

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: if statement II is the cause and statement I is its effect.

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Weather shocks disrupt supply chains. Flood-like conditions reduce harvest, damage logistics, and raise prices. The pair asks whether the meteorological event (II) can immediately cause the price spike (I).



Given Data / Assumptions:


  • II: Incessant rains → flood-like conditions in rural production zones.
  • I: Recent substantial rise in vegetable prices locally.
  • Floods impede harvesting and transport, cut supply, and increase costs.


Concept / Approach:
Basic supply-demand logic: negative supply shock shifts the supply curve left, raising equilibrium prices, holding demand constant.



Step-by-Step Solution:


1) II → I: Floods reduce effective supply / raise costs → higher market prices.2) I → II is implausible; price rise cannot cause the weather event.3) Select B accordingly.


Verification / Alternative check:
Price data often spike after weather-induced crop losses; this matches the stem.



Why Other Options Are Wrong:
A reverses direction; C/D claim independence; here causality is direct.



Common Pitfalls:
Overlooking transport bottlenecks as part of the effective supply reduction.



Final Answer:
if statement II is the cause and statement I is its effect.

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