Difficulty: Medium
Correct Answer: if only argument II is strong
Explanation:
Introduction / Context:
Conflict-management policy balances de-escalation gestures against security and signaling risks. The question is about unconditional release.
Given Data / Assumptions:
Concept / Approach:
Strong arguments must be proximate to likely outcomes. A blanket goodwill claim (I) lacks mechanism and conditions; II identifies a concrete risk tied to actors’ current posture, directly relevant to the unconditional aspect.
Step-by-Step Solution:
1) Evaluate I: Absent conditions or a structured process, a bare goodwill release may not improve incentives. Weak.2) Evaluate II: Points to escalation risk if positions remain inflexible; this is a salient, policy-grade concern. Strong.3) Therefore, only II is strong.
Verification / Alternative check:
Common practice is conditional release within a peace-talks framework (dialogue timelines, verifiable commitments), which underscores II’s relevance to “unconditional.”
Why Other Options Are Wrong:
“Only I/either/both” overstate a generic hope without structure; “neither” ignores material risk.
Common Pitfalls:
Conflating goodwill with effective conflict resolution absent credible commitments.
Final Answer:
If only argument II is strong.
Discussion & Comments