Statement:\nPower (electricity) consumption per family has doubled during the last five years.\n\nConclusions:\nI. There is a lot of development in society.\nII. Power tariffs have become cheaper.\n\nWhich conclusion(s) follow(s) from the statement?

Difficulty: Medium

Correct Answer: If neither Conclusion I nor II follows

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
From a single trend—household electricity consumption has doubled over five years—we must judge whether two broad conclusions are logically necessary: that society has developed a lot, or that electricity has become cheaper.


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Only stated fact: per-family electricity consumption today is ≈2× that of five years ago.
  • No information about electricity tariff levels, subsidies, appliance efficiency, household size, income, weather, or lifestyle changes.


Concept / Approach:
Logical necessity requires that a conclusion hold in every scenario consistent with the given statement. We therefore test whether each conclusion must be true across plausible explanations for higher usage.


Step-by-Step Solution:

1) Test Conclusion I (development): Consumption might increase due to wastefulness, heat waves, larger households, or inefficient devices—not necessarily “development.” Conversely, development could also increase usage, but it is not the only explanation. Hence I is not compelled.2) Test Conclusion II (cheaper power): Usage could rise even if power becomes more expensive (e.g., mandatory electrification of cooking, new devices). Without tariff data, II is not forced.


Verification / Alternative check:
Construct scenarios: (a) Tariffs increased, but appliance additions led to higher usage; (b) Tariffs decreased, leading to more usage; (c) No tariff change, but climate/remote work increased consumption. The statement holds in all three—therefore neither conclusion is necessary.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

• Any option asserting I or II assumes unstated causal links.• “Both” is doubly unsupported.


Common Pitfalls:
Confusing correlation (higher usage) with causation (development or cheaper rates); assuming a single cause when multiple factors can explain the observation.


Final Answer:
Neither Conclusion I nor II follows.

More Questions from Statement and Conclusion

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