Difficulty: Medium
Correct Answer: If neither Conclusion I nor II follows
Explanation:
Introduction / Context:
From a single trend—household electricity consumption has doubled over five years—we must judge whether two broad conclusions are logically necessary: that society has developed a lot, or that electricity has become cheaper.
Given Data / Assumptions:
Concept / Approach:
Logical necessity requires that a conclusion hold in every scenario consistent with the given statement. We therefore test whether each conclusion must be true across plausible explanations for higher usage.
Step-by-Step Solution:
Verification / Alternative check:
Construct scenarios: (a) Tariffs increased, but appliance additions led to higher usage; (b) Tariffs decreased, leading to more usage; (c) No tariff change, but climate/remote work increased consumption. The statement holds in all three—therefore neither conclusion is necessary.
Why Other Options Are Wrong:
Common Pitfalls:
Confusing correlation (higher usage) with causation (development or cheaper rates); assuming a single cause when multiple factors can explain the observation.
Final Answer:
Neither Conclusion I nor II follows.
Discussion & Comments