Difficulty: Medium
Correct Answer: Statement II is the cause and statement I is its effect.
Explanation:
Introduction / Context:
This question belongs to the logical reasoning topic of cause and effect. You are given two statements describing real world situations and you must identify the most logical cause effect relationship between them. Here, one statement talks about a sharp rise in vegetable prices, and the other describes flood like conditions due to incessant rains in rural areas of the state.
Given Data / Assumptions:
Concept / Approach:
In cause and effect reasoning, we check whether one statement can reasonably explain why the other statement happened. A typical chain is: natural event (heavy rains and floods) leads to crop damage and supply disruptions, which in turn leads to higher market prices. Therefore, we evaluate whether Statement II can be the cause and Statement I the effect, or vice versa, or whether both are just effects of some other common cause.
Step-by-Step Solution:
1. Consider Statement II: Incessant rains cause flood like conditions in rural areas.2. Floods in rural areas often damage standing crops and hinder transportation of vegetables to urban markets.3. When supply of vegetables is reduced while demand remains similar, basic economics says prices increase.4. Statement I reports that vegetable prices have increased manifold in the local market.5. Thus, Statement II can naturally be seen as the cause and Statement I as the effect of that cause.
Verification / Alternative check:
Now test the reverse direction. If Statement I were the cause and Statement II the effect, it would mean that high vegetable prices somehow caused heavy rains and floods, which is not logically or scientifically reasonable. Next, check if both could be independent causes. That would mean the price rise and the floods are unrelated, which ignores the strong and typical link between agriculture, weather and prices. Therefore, the most convincing relation is that the bad weather and floods (Statement II) cause the increase in vegetable prices (Statement I).
Why Other Options Are Wrong:
Statement I is the cause and Statement II is its effect: Economically and scientifically impossible, since market prices do not cause weather events.Both are independent causes: Ignores the natural causal link between floods and food prices.Both are effects of some common cause: There is no need to assume a third hidden cause when a direct causal link already explains the scenario well.Neither statement is related: This contradicts the obvious connection between crop damage and price hikes.
Common Pitfalls:
Students sometimes look for complicated hidden causes and forget straightforward economic reasoning. Another common mistake is to overthink the wording and assume that every pair of statements must be independent. Always ask: can one reasonably happen before and cause the other? Also, remember that natural disasters often have multiple effects, including price increases, migration, and infrastructure damage. Here the simplest and strongest link is between floods (cause) and vegetable price rise (effect).
Final Answer:
Statement II is the cause and Statement I is its effect.
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