Difficulty: Medium
Correct Answer: if only conclusion II follows
Explanation:
Introduction / Context:The stem states an observed environmental trend: the Antarctic ozone hole is shrinking. Two conclusions are offered about chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs): (I) removal now exceeds new releases; (II) atmospheric levels of destructive CFCs are declining. We must identify the inference supported by the report without adding stronger claims.
Given Data / Assumptions:
Concept / Approach:A shrinking hole is consistent with falling concentrations of ozone-depleting substances (ODS) like CFCs. However, claiming that natural/atmospheric removal outpaces total releases (I) is a stronger, quantitative dynamic not stated in the stem.
Step-by-Step Solution:
Conclusion II (declining ODS levels) aligns with the expected mechanism behind the observed healing and fits the report’s implication.Conclusion I introduces a precise inequality (removal > release) that the stem does not assert; it may be true, but it is not a necessary consequence.Verification / Alternative check:The hole could shrink due to lower emissions plus slow stratospheric cleansing; we are not told the current balance is removal > release in all regions/times. Thus II, not I, follows.
Why Other Options Are Wrong:
Any option selecting I overstates the data. “Either” or “neither” misreads the stem’s environmental directionality.Common Pitfalls:Conflating “improving indicator” with a specific quantitative mechanistic claim.
Final Answer:if only conclusion II follows
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