Critical Reasoning — Conclusions Statement (advertisement): Double your money in five months. Which conclusion logically follows from the statement?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: Only conclusion II follows

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Many banking and reasoning exams test your ability to judge what conclusions follow directly from a given statement. Here the statement is an advertisement promising: 'Double your money in five months.' We must evaluate two candidate conclusions and decide which is logically supported without adding external assumptions.



Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Given promotional claim: 'Double your money in five months.'
  • Conclusion I: The assurance is not genuine.
  • Conclusion II: People want their money to grow.


Concept / Approach:

  • A conclusion 'follows' only if it is reasonably and directly implied by the given statement alone.
  • Advertisements are crafted to appeal to a desire or need of the audience. They rarely prove genuineness; they simply presume a desire and offer a pitch.
  • We cannot import our personal skepticism about such claims unless the statement itself provides evidence for disbelief.


Step-by-Step Solution:

Check Conclusion I: 'The assurance is not genuine.' The statement does not supply any proof of falsity. Claiming non-genuineness requires extra information. So I does not follow.Check Conclusion II: 'People want their money to grow.' The very purpose of such an advertisement is to attract those who desire growth of their funds. The ad presupposes this general motive; otherwise the message would be pointless. Hence II reasonably follows.


Verification / Alternative check:

If people did not seek returns, such a pitch would be ineffective. Therefore the existence of that desire is a fair, minimal inference. However, genuineness or fraudulence cannot be inferred either way from the text alone.


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

'Only I' is incorrect because the statement never indicates falsity. 'Either I or II' is wrong because only II follows. 'Neither' is wrong since II follows. 'Both' is too strong; I does not follow.


Common Pitfalls:

Letting real-world skepticism override the strict rule: conclude only what the text implies. Ads imply a consumer desire but do not, by themselves, prove or disprove authenticity.


Final Answer:

Only conclusion II follows

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