Drought declaration threshold: An area is officially considered drought-affected when its mean rainfall falls below what percentage of normal (long-term average)?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: 75%

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Administrations and hydrologists use rainfall deficiency thresholds to identify drought conditions and trigger mitigation, relief, and water-use restrictions. A common benchmark compares seasonal or annual rainfall to the long-term mean (“normal”).


Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Mean rainfall is expressed as a percentage of the long-term normal.
  • We are considering a widely used indicative threshold for drought declaration.


Concept / Approach:

A deficiency greater than about one-quarter relative to normal indicates severe hydrologic stress for agriculture and supplies. Hence, rainfall less than roughly three-quarters (75%) of normal is a conventional signal for drought status in many planning references and exam standards.


Step-by-Step Solution:

Define rainfall deficiency D% = 100% − (actual/normal * 100%).If actual < 75% of normal ⇒ D% > 25% ⇒ qualifies as drought condition by common criterion.Select the closest policy threshold in the choices: 75%.


Verification / Alternative check:

Historic agricultural advisories and hydrology texts commonly adopt 75% of normal as the drought-affected indicator, with further categories for moderate vs. severe drought using deeper deficits or additional indicators (soil moisture, streamflow).


Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • 50% or 60%: These imply extreme deficits; policies usually act earlier.
  • 80% or 85%: These may flag watch conditions but are not the conventional drought declaration threshold in many references.


Common Pitfalls:

  • Using percentage of a short recent mean rather than a long-term climatology.
  • Ignoring timing; distribution in growing season matters as much as totals.


Final Answer:

75%.

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