A speaks truth in 75% cases and B in 80% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other, in narrating the same incident?
Aptitude
Probability
Difficulty: Medium
Choose an option
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A5%
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B15%
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C35%
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D45%
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ENone of these
Answer
Correct Answer: 35%
Explanation
### Concept & Logic
Two people contradict each other when one speaks the truth and the other lies. We must calculate the probability of two mutually exclusive scenarios and add them together.
$$ P(\text{Contradiction}) = P(A_{\text{truth}})P(B_{\text{lie}}) + P(A_{\text{lie}})P(B_{\text{truth}}) $$
### Step-by-Step Solution
* Let $P(A)$ be the probability A speaks truth: $P(A) = 75\% = \frac{75}{100} = \frac{3}{4}$
* Probability A lies: $P(\bar{A}) = 1 - \frac{3}{4} = \frac{1}{4}$
* Let $P(B)$ be the probability B speaks truth: $P(B) = 80\% = \frac{80}{100} = \frac{4}{5}$
* Probability B lies: $P(\bar{B}) = 1 - \frac{4}{5} = \frac{1}{5}$
* They contradict if (A speaks truth AND B lies) OR (A lies AND B speaks truth).
* Required Probability $= [P(A) \times P(\bar{B})] + [P(\bar{A}) \times P(B)]$
* $= \left(\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{5}\right) + \left(\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{4}{5}\right)$
* $= \frac{3}{20} + \frac{4}{20} = \frac{7}{20}$
* Convert back to percentage: $\frac{7}{20} \times 100\% = 7 \times 5\% = 35\%$
### Exam Strategy & Shortcut
Keep values in decimals if you prefer avoiding fractions. $P(A) = 0.75$, $P(\bar{A}) = 0.25$, $P(B) = 0.8$, $P(\bar{B}) = 0.2$. Contradiction $= (0.75 \times 0.2) + (0.25 \times 0.8) = 0.15 + 0.20 = 0.35 = 35\%$.
### Common Pitfall
Misunderstanding "contradict". Some students calculate the probability they both lie, thinking a lie is a contradiction. Contradiction strictly means opposing statements (Truth vs. Lie).
### Final Answer
Therefore, the correct answer is **35%**.