Tourism policy and inference of intent versus outcome Statement: • The Government of country X has announced several concessions and offered attractive package tours for foreign visitors. Conclusions to evaluate: I. Now, more foreign tourists will visit the country. II. The Government of country X seems to be serious about attracting tourists.

Introduction / Context:
Policy announcements can reveal intent but do not guarantee outcomes. The Government introduces concessions and attractive packages for foreign visitors. We must discern which conclusion is logically warranted: a statement about future tourist numbers or a statement about the Government’s seriousness.

Given Data / Assumptions:

• New concessions and attractive packages have been announced.
• No data on market response yet.
• No historical trend lines are provided.

Concept / Approach:
From deliberate incentives targeted at tourists, it is reasonable to infer policy intent or seriousness. However, whether tourist arrivals will actually increase depends on many external factors like global economy, travel advisories, connectivity, and marketing, none of which are specified.

Step-by-Step Solution:

Verification / Alternative check:
Consider a scenario where external shocks reduce travel despite the incentives; arrival numbers may not increase, but the Government’s seriousness remains evident. This confirms II without I.

Why Other Options Are Wrong:

• Only I: treats hoped for effect as guaranteed.
• Either / Both: both include I, which is not compelled.
• Neither: underrates the clear signal of intent embedded in the incentives.

Common Pitfalls:
Confusing policy intention with market outcome; assuming demand response without evidence.

Final Answer:
Only conclusion II follows