Basic probability without replacement: A box has 4 white and 3 red balls. Two balls are drawn successively without replacement. What is the probability that both are white?

Difficulty: Easy

Correct Answer: 2/7

Explanation:


Introduction / Context:
Sampling without replacement is a fundamental probability model. Here, drawing two balls successively from a small urn illustrates conditional probability and the multiplication rule.



Given Data / Assumptions:

  • Total balls: 7 (4 white, 3 red).
  • Two draws in succession without replacement.
  • Event of interest: both balls are white.


Concept / Approach:

Use the multiplication rule: P(A ∩ B) = P(A) * P(B | A). Let A be “first ball white” and B be “second ball white given first white”.



Step-by-Step Solution:

P(first white) = 4/7.After removing one white, remaining white = 3, remaining total = 6.P(second white | first white) = 3/6 = 1/2.So, P(both white) = (4/7) * (3/6) = 12/42 = 2/7.


Verification / Alternative check:

Combinatorial approach: favorable outcomes = C(4,2) = 6; total 2-ball selections = C(7,2) = 21; so probability = 6/21 = 2/7. Matches conditional method.



Why Other Options Are Wrong:

  • 4/21 and 8/21 are common arithmetic slips; 3/7 counts single white outcomes incorrectly; 1/7 is too low.


Common Pitfalls:

  • Accidentally using replacement or forgetting to update counts on the second draw.
  • Confusing ordered draws with unordered combinations.


Final Answer:

2/7

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