Statement:
Have the economic reforms proved effective?
Arguments:
I. Yes. There has been a tremendous improvement in the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate.
II. No. The progress that has been made is due to the bounty of the monsoons.

I is strong : it cites one of the prime indicators of the effectiveness of the reforms. II is also strong because good monsoons mean good agriculture. Since agriculture has a good share in our gross domestic product (GDP) and since good agriculture promotes other sectors of the economy as well, good monsoons will inevitably lead to better economic results. In that case, it is possible that the success is not that of economic reforms.